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About this product
Product Identifiers
PublisherMIT Press
ISBN-100262582597
ISBN-139780262582599
eBay Product ID (ePID)46608263
Product Key Features
Number of Pages456 Pages
Publication NameReasoning about Uncertainty
LanguageEnglish
Publication Year2005
SubjectInformation Theory, Intelligence (Ai) & Semantics, Computer Science, General, Logic
TypeTextbook
Subject AreaMathematics, Computers, Philosophy
AuthorJoseph Y. Halpern
FormatTrade Paperback
Dimensions
Item Height1 in
Item Weight27.3 Oz
Item Length9 in
Item Width6.9 in
Additional Product Features
Intended AudienceScholarly & Professional
LCCN2003-044565
Dewey Edition21
Reviews"Halpern presents a masterful, complete and unified account of the many ways in which the connections between logic, probability theory and commonsensical linguistic terms can be formalized. Terms such as 'true,' 'certain,' 'plausible,' 'possible,' 'believed,' 'known,' 'default,' 'relevant,' 'independent,' and 'preferred' are given rigorous semantical and syntactical analyses, and their interrelationships explicated and exemplified. An authoritative panoramic reference for philosophers, cognitive scientists and artificial intelligence researchers." -Judea Pearl, Computer Science Department, University of California, Los Angeles
Grade FromCollege Graduate Student
IllustratedYes
Dewey Decimal003/.54
SynopsisUncertainty is a fundamental and unavoidable feature of daily life; in order to deal with uncertaintly intelligently, we need to be able to represent it and reason about it. In this book, Joseph Halpern examines formal ways of representing uncertainty and considers various logics for reasoning about it. While the ideas presented are formalized in terms of definitions and theorems, the emphasis is on the philosophy of representing and reasoning about uncertainty; the material is accessible and relevant to researchers and students in many fields, including computer science, artificial intelligence, economics (particularly game theory), mathematics, philosophy, and statistics. Halpern begins by surveying possible formal systems for representing uncertainty, including probability measures, possibility measures, and plausibility measures. He considers the updating of beliefs based on changing information and the relation to Bayes' theorem; this leads to a discussion of qualitative, quantitative, and plausibilistic Bayesian networks. He considers not only the uncertainty of a single agent but also uncertainty in a multi-agent framework. Halpern then considers the formal logical systems for reasoning about uncertainty. He discusses knowledge and belief; default reasoning and the semantics of default; reasoning about counterfactuals, and combining probability and counterfactuals; belief revision; first-order modal logic; and statistics and beliefs. He includes a series of exercises at the end of each chapter., North Korea under Kim Chong-il: Power, Politics, and Prospects for Change delves deeply into what we know-and what we think we know-about the current North Korean system. This incisive book probes the dynamics that inform the nation's domestic and foreign policies, examining key leadership institutions and personalities, as well as prospects for the next regime. In outlining the major events behind Kim Chong-il's assumption of power, Ken E. Gause illuminates the environment that shaped Chong-il's worldview and his concept of the regime and his role in it. The book focuses on regime politics since 1994. Among other critical topics, the book examines the evolution of North Korean decision-making with regard to its internal and external affairs and how both are intermingled. The prospects for a third hereditary succession and the prospective stability of the next regime are also considered.